Raen Observations

We want to share an important update with our community.

A back-loaded week: FOMC minutes Wednesday, GDP + PCE Friday. We map the key releases (housing, durables, trade) and the one question that decides whether markets reprice the rate path.

The week’s key zones across index futures, metals, FX and DAX — mapped into major pivots and decision areas to help you track where moves are more likely to stall, rotate, or extend.

A lighter week on paper, but higher calendar risk in practice: confidence + housing prices Tuesday, a labor pulse Thursday, and multiple Census releases still marked TBD. With GDP and PCE pushed into March, we focus on the one driver that matters most next week — how rates behave when the usual macro anchors aren’t on the tape.

The week’s key zones across index futures, metals, FX, and DAX — mapped into major pivots and decision areas to help you track where moves are more likely to stall, rotate, or extend.

First week of March brings the tape back to its usual anchors: ISM Manufacturing Monday, a mid-week stack (ADP + ISM Services + Beige Book), and Friday payrolls as the closer. On the single-stock side, Broadcom reports Wednesday (post-close), Costco follows Thursday afternoon, and Berkshire drops its annual report + earnings Saturday morning. The week’s question is simple: do rates validate risk-on, or force discipline back into positioning?

The week’s key zones across index futures, metals, FX, and DAX — mapped into major pivots and decision areas to help you track where moves are more likely to stall, rotate, or extend.

Next week is simple on paper and violent in practice: Wednesday’s CPI is the only print that matters until it isn’t — because Friday delivers GDP (Second Estimate) and the PCE stack in the same 8:30am window, with JOLTS + Michigan sentiment right behind it. On the single-stock side, Oracle headlines Tuesday night and Adobe follows Thursday after the close. The question: does the inflation impulse keep the front end pinned, or does the data give duration room to breathe?

The week’s key zones across index futures, metals, and FX— mapped into major pivots and decision areas to help you track where moves are more likely to stall, rotate, or extend.

Next week belongs to the Fed. Wednesday opens with a delayed PPI release and closes with the March FOMC decision, fresh SEP dots, and Powell’s press conference. Around that core, industrial production lands Monday, pending home sales Tuesday, and Micron, Accenture, and FedEx give equities their own reality checks. One added wrinkle: several Census releases, including retail sales and housing starts, are still marked TBD after the federal funding lapse, which means the market may have less clean macro guidance than usual outside the Fed window.